Peak TV continues up the peak in 2021

Gavin Bridge writes on Variety that streaming has pushed Peak TV to new heights.

The main takeaways are:

  • 2021 saw a record number of original series
  • Streaming is now the platform with the largest number of original shows
  • Unscripted shows account for over half of all shows

He writes:

“There were 1,923 original series in 2021 released on broadcast TV, cable and streaming services, a new record high driven by the continued launch of streaming platforms like Discovery+ and expansions including Paramount+.”

He adds:

The “boom in streaming has been fueled by the cable networks themselves, as they move assets once meant for cable to new SVOD services. Discovery+ alone accounted for 169 shows this year, with SVODs connected to cable TV companies releasing a total of 459 originals on streaming in 2021.”

And: “Unscripted shows saw the greatest growth in 2021, up by 26% YoY and accounting for 61% of all originals.”

My take: Perhaps a little early — (Broadcast) TV is dead; long live (streaming) TV. One question is: who’s footing the bill? It used to be almost exclusively advertising. Have you noitced your streaming costs have gone up? There will be a shakeout, but I’m not sure when.

Netflix floats bonuses for winning filmmakers

Lucas Shaw writes for Bloomberg that Netflix Plans to Pay Bonuses to Filmmakers When Movies Succeed:

Netflix vs. Amazon Prime vs. Hulu Plus

“Netflix Inc. plans to pay filmmakers, actors and movie producers a bonus if their films are successful, a new incentive aimed at winning projects that might otherwise go to rival studios.”

This would be a departure for the currently-leading streamer:

“The bonuses are different than Hollywood’s traditional “back-end” arrangements, where filmmakers get a percentage of box-office money. Since Netflix’s films don’t get released widely at theaters — if they hit the big screen at all — there’s no hope for a big payoff there…. Netflix has never offered back-end deals. It covers the full cost of production and pays producers a premium on top of that, granting them a profit before the project is even released. These deals are a safer bet because the producer is guaranteed to make a significant amount of money, but they also cap the potential profit.”

For a great primer on the various business models, see Joe Flint‘s article The War for Talent in the Age of Netflix in the Wall Street Journal:

“For decades, the formula for producers to make big money in TV was for a show to stay on the air long enough to have 100 episodes or more — enough to sell reruns to other TV networks. The bulk of the profits for production studios and show creators have come from those “syndication” deals, not the initial fees to produce and air the show. The creators of “Seinfeld,” “Friends” and “The Simpsons” made hundreds of millions of dollars this way, as stakeholders who were entitled to a cut of the profits…. Netflix did away with that model when it started wooing superstar producers to make content exclusively for the service, including “Grey’s Anatomy” creator Shonda Rhimes and “Glee” producer Ryan Murphy. Netflix paid nine-figure upfront fees to Ms. Rhimes and Mr. Murphy. Netflix doesn’t sell reruns of its shows to other platforms, so there weren’t any syndication profits to be had for the producers, and the producers wanted a bigger check to work for Netflix.”

With the streaming marketplace to get much busier in November, it seems as if Netflix has been forced to consider sweetening its deals with filmmakers.

My take: with number of streaming services to double very soon, feature and episodic producers have more choice of outlets than ever before. How will the various streamers differentiate themselves, thereby attracting different audiences? How much overlap will the market bear, meaning how many services will folks pay for?

Disney+ announced; enough is officially enough

Disney has officially announced the launch date of its new streaming service, Disney+.

The $6.99 a month service will be available in the U.S. on Tuesday, November 12, 2019.

It will include all of the Marvel, Pixar, Star Wars, National Geographic and Fox catalog. Disney tweeted:

“In year one, you’ll be able to rediscover more than 7,500 episodes and 500 films from our library on #DisneyPlus.”

In related news, Raymond Wong of Mashable complains that there are officially too many damn video streaming services.

PC Mag has a good chart comparing ten of the US streaming options.

My take: Over-saturation is becoming a growing problem. I can envision that folks will mix and match services each month, depending on what they want to watch; they won’t be as loyal as in the past. But this is a problem I think that will be eventually solved by an evolution of technology. Remember at the beginning of telephony that each town had its own exchange. These morphed from a maximum of 10,000 users per Central Office to today’s global networks. Likewise, I predict that content will one day flow directly from creators to viewers, bypassing curators. In the meantime, get ready to shell out the big bucks.